Macquarie says copper price rally still running ahead of reality
2026-07-10
Macquarie Strategy analysts contend that the recent rally in copper prices is detached from underlying physical market realities, driven more by speculative positioning and tariff-related trade flows than actual demand. Despite current trading at $13,800 a tonne, the bank points to surging visible inventories and projected surpluses stretching into 2028, alongside underperforming mine supply and weakening demand in key markets like China. While recognizing copper's long-term structural attractiveness for the energy transition, Macquarie forecasts a market correction, projecting a price floor of $11,000 a tonne by the third quarter of 2027.
